The Mouse that roared

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This is a guest post from a Marine who has been deeply involved in our many fronts against radical Islam and all the other folks who make our planet dangerous. We have been corresponsding for quite a few years of that. Here he goes, it is a lively ride. Those who don’t know history are destined to repeat it…Edmund Burke Know the enemy as you know yourself, win 100 of 100 battles…Sun Tzu While Jimbo knows that I hold him in the highest esteem, even if he failed to travel to Camp Lejeune and watch my last ride into the sunset, I am about to rip a few contentions in his column here. First, wars. We have been at war, but have not fought multiple wars in the last 13 years. Afghanistan, Iraq, the Southern Philippines, Djibouti, Somalia, Nigeria, Libya and Yemen are part and parcel to a single war. They are multiple separate campaigns, only that we ourselves have not really connected the dots. We say that we understand, but from witnessing the press coverage and the opinions from the so-called experts continues to baffle and aggravate me. Just today, a gentlemen on Fox declared we are seeing the redrawing of lines in the Middle East. NO, we are seeing the erasing of lines in the Middle East. There is only one line that matters to the islamists and that is the line that separates Dar ul Islam (land of islam) and Dar ul Harb (land of war). Right now in Iraq and Syria, we are seeing the new Dar ul Islam bloom, in the heart of the original caliphate, and it will bloom quickly. While Baghdad prepares a token defense, Iran prepares to insert military support to the embattled Shia government, the truth is the sheer brutality, and ruthless efficiency of ISIS will quickly overwhelm, as the Shia run for their lives and the Sunni will surrender and pledge allegiance to their new masters, and the new Caliphate. Once Baghdad falls, the rest of the house of cards that is the middle east will fall in short order. If the combat trained and experienced Iraqi military, with our weapons and modern training cannot stand to the fury that is the jihad, who do we honestly suppose would? The Kurds perhaps, but the last home of the caliphate, Ankara will not allow an independent Kurdish state. The Peshmerga will die by the sword or surrender to the caliphate, they are Sunni afterall. So who does that leave? Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Bahrain or the Emirates? None of them have the fortitude to stand up, the Royals will run and the islamists will assume control. That would leave 3 holdouts, Egypt, Damascus and Israel. Safe to assume, the Egyptian military will put up some token resistance, but the reality is, they are fully infiltrated by islamists and the muslim brotherhood. Gen al Sisi’s brief victory will be that indeed. The growing jihad will cause Assad to flee with his Iranian peers, and Israel will very soon find itself surrounded as Dar ul Islam prepares to commit the final purge, pushing the Jews into the sea. We have seen this happen before. We just failed to appreciate the history of islam. The only difference between the 7th Century and the 21st Century is that warfighting capability and transportation are greatly improved. While we may not understand what is happening, the key leaders in the muslim brotherhood, al Qaeda, Turkey and ISIS do and are driving the war as they have envisioned it. Ayman al Zawahiri wrote to the Iraqi’s frequently before and during and I would suppose after the US invasion and campaign. The theme was to hold on and hold out, that the US was a paper tiger and would cut and run. He said the same to the Afghani’s but there is a difference. Afghanistan is not Arab. The attention placed on Iraq, even before 9/11 should have lit every analyst’s emergency button, but it did not, the letters lay untouched in the Library of Congress. Only communications from bin Ladin and Zawahiri directed at the audiences in the West were translated. Raymond Ibrahim, a doctoral candidate found them, saw they were ignored and translated them into a fine and very important book. The al Qaeda Reader. Critical to understanding the nature of the war was to understand the enemy, which we have failed to do, over and over and over again. Know the enemy as you know yourself. Since, I don’t have my copy of that book now, I attribute all of this to Zawahiri and Raymond Ibrahim. I don’t mean to plagiarize their intellectual property. But here is the campaign plan. Stage one, defeat the Soviet Union (communism). That may have been an add-on as a claim for the spoils of victory for the mujahedeen in Afghanistan, but the Soviet Empire finally collapsed at the end of operations in Afghanistan. Whether we in the West claim the victory as we do, or our one time mujahedeen partners, the Soviet Union collapsed in spectacular fashion. Stage two, defeat the West. This provides the foundation for my recommendations at the end. With our surrender of Iraq and our impending surrender in Afghanistan, the jihadists are considering the completion of stage two and it was a success. As nations who rely on what we consider to be high intellect and our morality, we felt that we own the high ground. Our support to islamist causes, whether it be humanitarian or disaster relief in Indonesia, Somalia, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Iran, or support to islamist combat operations in Bosnia, Kosovo, Albania, Libya, Iraq, Afghanistan, now Syria, we have deluded ourselves to thinking that we have bought favor and potential alliances. I think the answer should be clear, is no. We have not. Rather in a stunning and brutally symbolic display, our hand of friendship to the muslim brotherhood was sliced off on 9/11/12 in Benghazi. No response from the West was the final...

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Posted Jun 24 2014, 11:21 PM by BLACKFIVE